Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nataliya E. Sokolinskaya Author-Email: sokolinskaja@mail.ru Author-Workplace-Name: Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia Title: Retail Portfolio Risk: the Forecasting Models Abstract: Forecasting the retail portfolio credit risk is necessary. It is a topical issue for the loan institutions that operate within the post-crisis Russian banking system where the number of credit risks associated with the retail portfolio is constantly going up. The article author examines the risk elimination methodologies used by the Russian and international experts. If the optimal forecasting method is chosen, the banks’ financial losses will be minimal. Classification-JEL: G21 Keywords: forecasting models, risks, retail portfolio of a bank, loss reserve, default Journal: Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal Pages: 95-104 Issue: 2 Year: 2011 Month: April File-URL: http://www.nifi.ru/images/FILES/Journal/Archive/2011/2/statii/2011_02_09.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:fru:finjrn:110209:p:95-104