Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Igor Yu. Arlashkin
Author-Email: igor-arlashkin@mail.ru
Author-Workplace-Name: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Author-Name: Alexander N. Deryugin
Author-Email: deryugin@ranepa.ru
Author-Workplace-Name: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Author-Name: Kseniya A. Proka
Author-Email: proka-ka@ranepa.ru
Author-Workplace-Name: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Title: Development of Long-term Budget Outlook: Regional Aspect
Abstract: The article attempts to develop recommendations to regional authorities of the Russian Federation on developing long-term fiscal projections that enable to estimate the length and extent of changes in the public sector, which may arise as a result of the impact of economic and demographic factors. These recommendations include the ones on the predicting a number of demographic and economic indicators, as well as the parameters of regional budgets and are based on best practice of long-term forecasting in foreign countries. The article also provides guidance on assessing the sustainability of long-term projections to changes in individual demographic, economic or other factors.
Classification-JEL:
Keywords: long-term forecast, long-term fiscal planning, subnational budgets, regional fiscal policy
Journal: Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal
Pages: 63-74
Issue: 3
Year: 2015
Month: June
File-URL: http://www.nifi.ru/images/FILES/Journal/Archive/2015/3/statii/07.pdf
File-Format: Application/pdf 
Handle: RePEc:fru:finjrn:150307:p:63-74